Copa Libertadores
Universidad Católica and Estudiantes meet for the Round of 16 replay in the Copa Libertadores on August 19, 2026 at 03:30 (UTC) at Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo. The match, to be played in Santiago de Chile, will be refereed by Colombian referee Wilmar Alexander Roldán Pérez. The first match ended 1-1, so the round ticket will be decided this evening.
Form and standings
Universidad Católica, leading their group with 13 points from 6 matches, remain unbeaten in their last 6 Libertadores matches and enter with WWDWW form. Estudiantes sit second with 9 points and carry an unbeaten run in 9 of their last 11 Libertadores matches, though their form is more inconsistent at WDDLW. A notable point is that Católica have failed to win 4 of their last 5 home Libertadores matches; Estudiantes have also failed to win 5 of their last 6 away matches. This picture suggests the replay could be equally contested.
Head-to-head history
In recent matches between the two teams, the number of goals exchanged has been low; only one of their recent encounters saw both teams score. According to the data, Estudiantes typically score between the 0-15 minute mark, while Universidad Católica score between 75-90 minutes; this suggests the match could maintain its tension until the final stretch.
Injuries and expected lineups
Joaquín Correa is unavailable for Estudiantes due to injury. The situation is more severe for Universidad Católica: Clemente Montes (foot surgery), Tomás Asta-Buruaga and Diego Valencia (torn ACL), Juan Francisco Rossel (knee injury), Fernando Zampedri (broken nose), Sebastián Arancibia (muscle tear) and suspended Justo Giani will be absent. The absence of striker Zampedri represents a significant loss to Católica's attacking power. Both teams are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation; Estudiantes are anticipated to deploy Muslera in goal with Guido Carrillo and Joaquín Tobio Burgos leading the attack.
Data-driven forecast
xG data shows Zampedri is Católica's most effective player in this matchup (0.85 average xGOT) but will be unavailable due to injury. For Estudiantes, Guido Carrillo has the highest xGOT average both against this opponent and in his last 10 Libertadores matches. Goal statistics also point to a low-scoring affair: 9 of Estudiantes' last 11 matches stayed under 2.5 goals, as did all 4 of Universidad Católica's recent matches. This trend suggests the replay could see cautious, low-tempo play.
